Showing posts with label Hezbollah. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Hezbollah. Show all posts

Saturday, November 14, 2015

Has the Time Come for the French Foreign Legion to Go to War?

We all were shocked today by Islamic State's synchronized attack in multiple Parisian locations on innocent civilians. About 130 are dead and another approximately 100 are severely wounded. The body count is likely to go up. It's a little too early to know the precise identities of the attackers and what their support infrastructure was. There is already at least one arrest in Germany.

Yes, it will be interesting to know the specific details of the terrorists, but the wake up call should already have rung loud and clear. ISIS has been quick to take the credit, as they did for blowing up the Russian airliner leaving from Sharm el-Sheikh killing 224.

The American rag-tag coalition fighting ISIS has been mostly confined to air strikes. Russia and Turkey also have attacked ISIS but have their own agendas: Turkey prefers to attack and kill the Kurds; Russia, which now has its own base in Syria, attacks anti-Assad groups in general (but is happy to kill Chechnya terrorists, who comprise about 25% of the ISIS fighting force).

But, rag tag or not, the coalition operations are beginning to show results on ISIS. Additional pressure is also now being applied on ISIS by a combined Russia-Iran-Hezbollah axis in support of Syria's Alawite government headed by Assad. Thus, ISIS has been suffering defeats and loss of territory lately: the Kurds have reconquered Sinjar, ISIS missed an opportunity to seize the big arms cache at as-Safira near Aleppo (by the time ISIS broke in, most of the arms had been removed), their supply line between Mosul and their capital at al-Raqqah is threatened, and their symbol, John the Jihadist, has been killed.

But ISIS in Syria and Iraq is still a formidable fighting force. The real problem with moving the offensive against ISIS into high gear is that no major power is willing to put boots on the ground in Iraq and Syria. Foreign soldiers are still considered 'advisers'.

This is where the elite French Foreign Legion (FFL) can contribute; its soldiers come from over 140 different countries and are highly trained. In recent years, they fought with distinction in Iraq in Operation Desert Storm (1991), and since 2001 have fought terror in Afghanistan, Ivory Coast, Mali, and Chad.

But make no mistake. Defeating ISIS is only part of a much greater war against worldwide Islamic terrorism. ISIS is Islamic Sunni terrorism. The West is yet to confront the greater threat of Islamic Shiite terrorism as exemplified by Iran (the recent Iran nuclear deal shows that the US and Europe are still in denial and may be confronted by a nuclear-armed terrorist state in the not-distant future). And there are other Islamic terrorist entities and movements that have to be confronted: Egypt (Muslim Brotherhood), Lebanon (Hezbollah), Russia (Chechnya), North Africa, Nigeria (Boko Haram) and (unfortunately) the list goes on. Yes, just as there are many different types of cancer that metastasize, so too with Islamic terrorism.

Friday, October 30, 2015

Saudi Arabia and Israel Move Closer Together

Billionaire Saudi prince al-Waleed bin Talal: will side with Israel if there is a new Palestinian uprising; Saudi Arabia has reached political maturity and can make a durable alliance with the Jewish nation

Poll: 24% of Saudi people see Israel as an ally against Iran

 

The Saudi strategic position has become tenuous in the last couple of years. The Iranian Nuclear deal has been signed paving the way for Iran as a nuclear power; the Saudis are involved in a military coalition in support of the legitimate Sunni Yemeni government against Shi'ite Houthi rebels; and the US is fast becoming self-sufficient in energy, and less inclined to put boots on the ground for Saudia Arabia. Thus, Saudi Arabia has been casting around for allies in what promises to be a long and drawn-out strategic and tactical battle against nuclear-ambitious Iran's push for Middle East domination. This week there were some noteworthy developments.

According to Kuwaiti Al Qabas Arabic daily, October 27, Saudi Prince and entrepreneur, al-Waleed bin Talal, has stated that his country must reconsider its regional commitments and devise a new strategy to combat Iran's increasing influence in the Gulf States.  Prince  al-Waleed bin Talal believes that Riyadh and Tel Aviv should form a defense pact to deter possible Iranian moves considering developments in Syria and Moscow's military intervention.

The Kuwaiti News Agency (KUNA) quoted the Saudi Prince:
The whole Middle-East dispute is tantamount to a matter of life and death for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia from my vantage point, and I know that  the Iranians seek to unseat the Saudi regime by playing the Palestinian card. Hence, to foil their plots Saudi Arabia and Israel must bolster their relations and form a united front to stymie Tehran's ambitious agenda.
The Prince added that Riyadh and Tel Aviv must achieve a modus vivendi, because Saudi policy in regard to the Arab-Israeli crisis is no longer tenable. The Prince continued that Iran seeks to buttress its presence in the Mediterranean by supporting the Assad regime in Syria,  and to the chagrin of Riyadh and its sister Gulf sheikdoms, Putin's Russia has become a real co-belligerent force in the Syrian 4-year-old civil war by attacking CIA-trained rebels.

Thus, it is of paramount importance that a Saudi-Israeli nexus frustrate the developing Russia-Iran-Hezbollah axis. The Prince said:
I will side with the Jewish nation and its democratic aspirations in case of outbreak of a Palestinian Intifada (uprising) and  I shall exert all my influence to break any ominous Arab initiatives set to condemn Tel Aviv, because I deem the Arab-Israeli entente and future friendship necessary to impede the Iranian dangerous encroachment.
It is very significant that the Prince is talking about siding with the Jewish nation not some amorphous 'Israeli political entity.' The Prince also stated that Iranian influence in Bahrain, which has a US Sixth Fleet base, affects Saudi vital interests and is worrying.

The interview with the Prince was not the only good news for Israel. A new survey reveals rarely seen aspects of public political opinion inside Saudi Arabia.

The Institute for Policy and Strategy (IPS) at IDC Herzliya and University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee conducted a random poll in Arabic in Saudi Arabia from the end of May and into June. It was controlled for gender, cell phone/land line numbers and urban/rural areas. The poll and its results achieved extensive media coverage in leading media organizations around the world and in Israel, including The New York Times, The Washington Post, Fox News, ABC News, Channel 2 News and others.  

Among the key findings:

  • Only 18.4% of Saudis consider Israel as the biggest threat to Saudi Arabia
  • 23.7% believe Saudi Arabia should fight Iran alongside Israel.
 Other findings were:
  • 85.5% support the Saudi-Arab Peace Initiative
  • 53% of those polled believe Iran is the biggest threat to Saudi Arabia; ISIS polled second at 22.1%; as mentioned, only 18.4% of Saudis consider Israel to be Saudi Arabia's biggest threat
  • 52.6% believe Saudi Arabia needs to acquire a nuclear weapon if Iran does
  • 70.9% believe Iran is a threat to Saudi sovereignty
Growing common interests of Israel, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and the Emirates increase the possibility of forcing the Palestinians to the negotiation table and their finally recognizing Israel as a Jewish state and making an agreement that will include ending the conflict and renouncing all their claims against Israel.